Tendencias en la mortalidad por neumonía en adultos en Chile, 2000-2016 / Trends in adult pneumonia mortality in Chile, 2000-2016

Objetivo: Analizar y modelar los cambios en la tendencia de la mortalidad por neumonía en la población mayor de 15 años de Chile, entre los años 2000 y 2016. Métodos: Estudio epidemiológico basado en información de bases de datos públicas de estadísticas vitales del Departamento de Estadística e Información en Salud (DEIS) y del Instituto Nacional de Estadística (INE) del Ministerio de Salud (MINSAL) de Chile. Los casos fueron identificados por los códigos CIE-10 J12-J18. Se calculó la tasa de mortalidad estandarizada por edad, según sexo y grupo etario. Se utilizó el análisis de regresión Joinpoint para modelar la mortalidad y estimar el porcentaje de cambio anual (CPA) en las tasas e identificar cambios significativos en las tendencias. Se utilizó el cambio del CPA como medida de resumen. Resultados: Durante el período de estudio, la tasa de mortalidad por neumonía en Chile disminuyó significativamente en un 61,9%, desde 56,3 muertes por 100.000 habitantes el año 2000 a 21,7 muertes por 100.000 habitantes en el año 2016, con un CPA de −4,2%, (p < 0,05). El 90% de los fallecidos tenían más de 65 años. Conclusiones: Las tasas de mortalidad por neumonía en Chile en mayores de 15 años muestran una tendencia a la disminución sostenida significativa en el período comprendido entre los años 2000 y 2016.

Objective: To analyze and model changes in the pneumonia mortality trend in the population over 15 years old of Chile, between 2000 and 2016. Methods: Epidemiological study based on information from public databases of vital statistics of the Department of Health Statistics and Information (DEIS) and the National Institute of Statistics (INE) of the Ministry of Health (MINSAL) of Chile. The cases were identified by the codes ICD-10 J12-J18. We calculated age-standardized overall mortality, according to sex and age group. Joinpoint regression analysis was used to model mortality and estimate the annual percentage of change (APC) in rates and identify significant changes in trends. APC was used as a summary measure. Results: During the period studied, the pneumonia mortality rate in Chile decreased significantly by 61.9%. Mortality rate diminished from 56.3 deaths per 100,000 inhabitants in 2000 to 21.7 deaths per 100,000 inhabitants in 2016 with an APC of −4.2%, (p < 0.05). Almost 90% of the deceased were over 65 years old. Conclusions: Mortality rates for pneumonia in Chile in people over 15 years of age show a significant sustained decreasing trend in the period between 2000 and 2016.

Depresión en ancianos graves con neumonía adquirida en la comunidad / Depression in seriously-ill elder people with community-acquired pneumonia

RESUMEN Introducción: aquellos países con alto grado de envejecimiento poblacional muestran asociaciones importantes con diferentes enfermedades, por ejemplo, la neumonía adquirida en la comunidad y la depresión en los ancianos. Objetivos: relacionar la depresión con la mortalidad y evaluar efectos de los antidepresivos, en los pacientes con neumonía adquirida en la comunidad, ingresados en la Unidad de Cuidados Intensivos del Hospital Militar Central "Dr. Carlos J. Finlay". Materiales y métodos: se realizó un estudio analítico, longitudinal prospectivo, con todos los pacientes con neumonía adquirida en la comunidad, ingresados en la Unidad de Cuidados Intensivos Emergentes, del Hospital Militar "Dr. Carlos J. Finlay". Periodo correspondiente a enero del 2018 hasta abril del 2019 que cumplieron con los criterios de inclusión. El universo lo constituyó 160 pacientes. Resultados: existieron 55 pacientes con síntomas de depresión previos al ingreso, (34 %). El 78 % de fallecidos presentaron depresión al ingreso. La edad media de los no deprimidos fue de 74, la más alta de los deprimidos fue de 80,80. No presentaron signos de depresión 93 pacientes vivos y 43 que la presentaron y fallecieron con una gran significación estadística p 0,000. RR 6,8. Se observó una marcada relación entre la mortalidad y el no recibir tratamiento para la depresión, (37) p 0,000. Conclusiones: la neumonía y la depresión son enfermedades que tienen una relación íntima. Esta asociación cuenta con una elevada mortalidad, así como el impacto del tratamiento antidepresivo en la evolución del paciente es definitorio en el ámbito de los cuidados intensivos (AU).

ABSTRACT Introduction: those countries with a high level of population ageing show important associations to different diseases, for example, community acquired pneumonia and depression in elder people. Objectives: to establish the relationship of depression with mortality and to evaluate the effect of antidepressants in patients with community-acquired pneumonia admitted in the Intensive Care Unit of the Central Military Hospital "Dr. Carlos J. Finlay". Materials and methods: a prospective, longitudinal, analytic study was carried out with all patients with community-acquired pneumonia, admitted in the Intensive Care Unit of the Central Military Hospital "Dr. Carlos J. Finlay" in the period from January 2018 until April 2019, who fulfilled the inclusion criteria. The universe were 160 patients. Results: there were 55 patients with depression symptoms before the admission. 78 % of the deceased showed depression at the admittance. The medium age of the non-depressed ones was 74 years; the highest age of the depressed ones was 80.80 years. 93 living patients did not present depression signs, and 43 presented them and died with a great statistical significance p: 0.000 RR: 6.8. A remarked relation was observed between mortality and not receiving treatment for depression (37) p 0,000. Conclusions: pneumonia and depression are diseases having a tight relationship. This association yields a high mortality, and the impact of the anti-depression treatment on the patient's evolution is defining in the intensive care settings (AU).

Utilidad de la proteína C reactiva sérica en el diagnóstico y tratamiento del adulto inmunocompetente hospitalizado por neumonía adquirida en la comunidad / Immunocompetent adults hospitalized for a community-acquired pneumonia: Serum C-reactive protein as a prognostic marker

Background: C-reactive protein (CRP) is used to monitor patients' response during treatment of infectious diseases. Morbidity and mortality associated with community-acquired pneumonia (CAP) is high, particularly in hospitalized patients. Better risk prediction during hospitalization could improve management and ultimately reduce mortality rates. Aim: To evaluate CRP measured at admission and the third day of hospitalization as a predictor for adverse events in CAP. Material and Methods: A prospective cohort study of adult patients hospitalized with CAP at an academic hospital. Major adverse outcomes were admission to ICU, mechanical ventilation, prolonged hospital length of stay, hospital complications and 30-day mortality. Predictive associations between CRP (as absolute levels and relative decline at third day) and adverse events were analyzed. Results: Eight hundred and twenty-three patients were assessed, 19% were admitted to ICU and 10.6% required mechanical ventilation. The average hospital stay was 8.8 ± 8.2 days, 42% had nosocomial complications and 8.1% died within 30 days. Ninety eight percent of patients had elevated serum CRP on admission to the hospital (18.1 ± 14.1 mg/dL). C-reactive protein measured at admission was associated with the risk of bacterial pneumonia, bacteremic pneumonia, septic shock and use of mechanical ventilation. Lack of CRP decline within three days of hospitalization was associated with high risk of complications, septic shock, mechanical ventilation and prolonged hospital stay. Conclusions: CRP responses at third day of hospital admission was a valuable predictor of adverse events in hospitalized CAP adult patients.

La anamnesis como pronóstico de mortalidad en la neumonía adquirida en la comunidad / Anamnesis as mortality prognosis in the community acquired pneumonia

RESUMEN Introducción: La neumonía adquirida en la comunidad constituye un importante problema de salud a nivel global, en Cuba es la cuarta causa de muerte. Los índices pronósticos ayudan a detectar tempranamente los pacientes de alto riesgo, pero esto tiene baja sensibilidad y especificidad. Objetivo: determinar durante la anamnesis factores pronósticos de mortalidad en la neumonía adquirida en la comunidad. Materiales y métodos: estudio analítico longitudinal retrospectivo con un grupo donde se aplicaron pruebas no paramétricas y cálculo de riesgo relativo. Resultados: edad de 78 ± 10 años con 53 % femeninas. La mortalidad global de 57 % antecedentes de diabetes mellitus, 53 % enfermedad cerebro vascular anterior 34 %, el 42 % estaba encamados. El 38 % tenían más de cinco días enfermos y el 69 % estaba consumiendo antimicrobianos antes del ingreso. El 23 % padecían de insuficiencia cardiaca congestiva y el 73 % de enfermedad pulmonar obstructiva crónica. El síndrome confusional fue un buen predictor de mortalidad (x2=0,05) (RR=2,8). El encamamiento prolongado no predijo mortalidad a los cinco días (x2=0,43). El uso de antimicrobianos previos incremento el riesgo en (RR=0,8) con (x2=0,05). La insuficiencia cardiaca fue el mejor predictor (x2=0,006) (RR=1,2). La enfermedad pulmonar obstructiva crónica predijo con(x2=0,019) y (RR=1,47). Conclusiones: se considera como factores fuertemente predictivos el antecedente de insuficiencia cardiaca, de enfermedad pulmonar obstructiva crónica y el paciente que acude con síndrome confusional.

ABSTRACT Introduction: community acquired pneumonia is an important health problem around the world, and in Cuba it is the fourth cause of death. Prognostic indexes help to detect early the patients at high risk, but they have low sensibility and specificity. Objective: to determine the mortality prognostic factors in the community acquired pneumonia during the anamnesis. Material and methods: analytic, retrospective, longitudinal study in a group applying non-parametric tests and relative risk calculation. Results: age: 78 ± 10 years; 53 % of women. Global mortality of 57 %; 53 % had antecedents of diabetes mellitus; 34 % had previous cerebro-vascular disease, and 42 % were bedridden patients. 38 % was sick more than five days and 69 % took antimicrobials before being admitted. 23 % suffered congestive heart failure and 73 % chronic obstructive pulmonary disease. Confusional syndrome was a good predictor of mortality (x2=0.05) (RR=2.8). Long confinement to bed did not predict mortality at the fifth day (x2=0.43). The previous use of antimicrobials increased the risk (RR=0.8) con (x2=0.05). Heart failure was the best predictor (x2=0.006) (RR=1.2). Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease predicted with (x2=0.019) y (RR=1.47). Conclusions: antecedents of heart failure and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, and the patient arriving with confusional syndrome are considered strongly predictive factors.

Do N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide levels determine the prognosis of community acquired pneumonia? / Os níveis de pró-peptídeo natriurético cerebral N-terminal determinam o prognóstico de pneumonia adquirida na comunidade?

ABSTRACT Objective: Pneumonia is a leading cause of mortality worldwide, especially in the elderly. The use of clinical risk scores to determine prognosis is complex and therefore leads to errors in clinical practice. Pneumonia can cause increases in the levels of cardiac biomarkers such as N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP). The prognostic role of the NT-proBNP level in community acquired pneumonia (CAP) remains unclear. The aim of this study was to evaluate the prognostic role of the NT-proBNP level in patients with CAP, as well as its correlation with clinical risk scores. Methods: Consecutive inpatients with CAP were enrolled in the study. At hospital admission, venous blood samples were collected for the evaluation of NT-proBNP levels. The Pneumonia Severity Index (PSI) and the Confusion, Urea, Respiratory rate, Blood pressure, and age ≥ 65 years (CURB-65) score were calculated. The primary outcome of interest was all-cause mortality within the first 30 days after hospital admission, and a secondary outcome was ICU admission. Results: The NT-proBNP level was one of the best predictors of 30-day mortality, with an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.735 (95% CI: 0.642-0.828; p < 0.001), as was the PSI, which had an AUC of 0.739 (95% CI: 0.634-0.843; p < 0.001), whereas the CURB-65 had an AUC of only 0.659 (95% CI: 0.556-0.763; p = 0.006). The NT-proBNP cut-off level found to be the best predictor of ICU admission and 30-day mortality was 1,434.5 pg/mL. Conclusions: The NT-proBNP level appears to be a good predictor of ICU admission and 30-day mortality among inpatients with CAP, with a predictive value for mortality comparable to that of the PSI and better than that of the CURB-65 score.

RESUMO Objetivo: A pneumonia é uma das principais causas de mortalidade no mundo, especialmente em idosos. O uso de escores de risco clínico para determinar o prognóstico é complexo e, portanto, leva a erros na prática clínica. A pneumonia pode causar aumento nos níveis de biomarcadores cardíacos, como o N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP, pró-peptídeo natriurético cerebral N-terminal). O papel prognóstico do nível de NT-proBNP na pneumonia adquirida na comunidade (PAC) continua incerto. O objetivo deste estudo foi avaliar o papel prognóstico do nível de NT-proBNP em pacientes com PAC, bem como sua correlação com escores de risco clínico. Métodos: Pacientes consecutivos internados com PAC foram incluídos no estudo. Na internação hospitalar, foram coletadas amostras de sangue venoso para avaliação dos níveis de NT-proBNP. Foram calculados o Pneumonia Severity Index (PSI, Índice de Gravidade de Pneumonia) e o escore Confusão mental, Ureia, frequência Respiratória, Blood pressure (pressão arterial) e idade ≥ 65 anos (CURB-65). O desfecho primário de interesse foi mortalidade por todas as causas nos primeiros 30 dias após a admissão hospitalar, e um desfecho secundário foi admissão na UTI. Resultados: O nível de NT-proBNP foi um dos melhores preditores de mortalidade em 30 dias, com uma área sob a curva (ASC) de 0,735 (IC95%: 0,642-0,828; p < 0,001), assim como o PSI, que teve uma ASC de 0,739 (IC95%: 0,634-0,843; p < 0,001), enquanto CURB-65 teve uma ASC de apenas 0,659 (IC95%: 0,556-0,763; p = 0,006). O nível de corte do NT-proBNP que mostrou ser o melhor preditor de admissão na UTI e de mortalidade em 30 dias foi de 1.434,5 pg/ml. Conclusões: O nível de NT-proBNP parece ser um bom preditor de admissão na UTI e de mortalidade em 30 dias entre pacientes internados com PAC, com um valor preditivo para mortalidade comparável ao do PSI e superior ao do CURB-65.

Causes of hospital admissions and deaths among Brazilian elders between 2005 and 2015 / Causas de internación hospitalar y óbito en los adultos mayores brasileños entre 2005 y 2015 / Causas de internação hospitalar e óbito em idosos brasileiros entre 2005 e 2015

Abstract OBJECTIVE To analyze the ranking and percentage variation of the main causes of hospital admissions and death of Brazilian elders between 2005 and 2015, according to gender and age groups. METHOD Retrospective and temporal analysis study. The six main causes of hospitalization and death of elders were collected in DATASUS according to sex and age groups (60 ~ 79, ≥80) in 2017. RESULTS Heart Failure (2005) and pneumonia (2015) were the two main causes of hospital admissions in both sexes and age groups, except for the younger group. Acute Myocardial Infarction was the main cause of death in 2005 and 2015. The second cause in the overall ranking was the Stroke in 2005 and Pneumonia in 2015. CONCLUSION Circulatory and respiratory diseases were the main causes of hospital admissions and death among the elderly, highlighting the impotant increase in pneumonia as a cause of morbimortality.

Resumen OBJETIVO Analizar el ranking y la variación porcentual de las principales causas de internación y muerte de adultos mayores brasileños entre 2005 y 2015, de acuerdo con sexo y grupos de edad. MÉTODO Estudio retrospectivo, de análisis temporal. Las seis principales causas de internación y muerte de adultos mayores fueron recogidas en el DATASUS, según el sexo y grupos de edad (60 ~ 79; ≥80), en 2017. RESULTADOS La Insuficiencia Cardiaca (2005) y la neumonía (2015) fueron las dos las principales causas de hospitalizaciones en ambos sexos y grupos de edad, excepto en ancianos más jóvenes. El infarto agudo de miocardio fue la principal causa de muerte en 2005 y 2015. La segunda causa en el ranking general fue el accidente vascular cerebral en 2005 y la neumonía en 2015. CONCLUSIÓN Las enfermedades del aparato circulatorio y respiratorio fueron las principales causas de hospitalización y muerte entre los ancianos, destacándose el significativo aumento de la neumonía como causa de morbimortalidad.

Resumo OBJETIVO Analisar o ranking e a variação percentual das principais causas de internação e óbito de idosos brasileiros entre 2005 e 2015, de acordo com sexo e grupos etários. MÉTODO Estudo retrospectivo, de análise temporal. As seis principais causas de internação e óbito de idosos foram coletados no DATASUS, segundo o sexo e grupos etários (60~79; ≥80), em 2017. RESULTADOS A Insuficiência Cardíaca (2005) e a pneumonia (2015) foram as duas principais causas de hospitalizações em ambos os sexos e grupos etários, exceto em idosos mais jovens. O Infarto Agudo do Miocárdio foi a principal causa de óbito em 2005 e 2015. Já a segunda causa no ranking geral foi o Acidente Vascular Cerebral em 2005, e a Pneumonia em 2015. CONCLUSÃO As doenças do aparelho circulatório e respiratório foram as principais causas de hospitalização e óbito entre os idosos, destacando-se o significativo aumento da pneumonia como causa de morbimortalidade.

Lower long-term mortality in obese patients with community-acquired pneumonia: possible role of CRP

OBJECTIVE: The present study aimed to investigate the relationship between obesity and mortality in patients with community-acquired pneumonia (CAP) in China. METHODS: In total, 909 patients with CAP were recruited for this study from January 2010 to June 2015. All patients were selected and divided into 4 groups according to their body mass index (BMI) values. All patients' clinical information was recorded. The associations among mortality; BMI; the 30-day, 6-month and 1-year survival rates for different BMI classes; the etiology of pneumonia in each BMI group; and the risk factors for 1-year mortality in CAP patients were analyzed. RESULT: With the exception of the level of C-reactive protein (CRP), no other clinical indexes showed significant differences among the different BMI groups. No significant differences were observed among all groups in terms of the 30-d and 6-month mortality rates (p>0.05). There was a significantly lower risk of 1-year mortality in the obese group than in the nonobese group, (p<0.05). Logistic regression analysis showed that there were seven independent risk factors for 1-year mortality in CAP patients, namely, age, cardiovascular disease, cerebrovascular disease, obesity, APACHE II score, level of CRP and CAP severity. CONCLUSION: Compared with nonobese patients with CAP, obese CAP patients may have a lower mortality rate, especially with regard to 1-year mortality, and CRP may be associated with the lower mortality rate in obese individuals than in nonobese individuals.

Clinical, epidemiological, and etiological profile of inpatients with community-acquired pneumonia in a public hospital in the interior of Brazil / Perfil clínico, epidemiológico e etiológico de pacientes internados com pneumonia adquirida na comunidade em um hospital público do interior do Brasil

ABSTRACT Objective: To describe the patient profile, mortality rates, the accuracy of prognostic scores, and mortality-associated factors in patients with community-acquired pneumonia (CAP) in a general hospital in Brazil. Methods: This was a cohort study involving patients with a clinical and laboratory diagnosis of CAP and requiring admission to a public hospital in the interior of Brazil between March 2014 and April 2015. We performed multivariate analysis using a Poisson regression model with robust variance to identify factors associated with in-hospital mortality. Results: We included 304 patients. Approximately 70% of the patients were classified as severely ill on the basis of the severity criteria used. The mortality rate was 15.5%, and the ICU admission rate was 29.3%. After multivariate analysis, the factors associated with in-hospital mortality were need for mechanical ventilation (OR: 3.60; 95% CI: 1.85-7.47); a Charlson Comorbidity Index score > 3 (OR: 1.30; 95% CI: 1.18-1.43); and a mental Confusion, Urea, Respiratory rate, Blood pressure, and age > 65 years (CURB-65) score > 2 (OR: 1.46; 95% CI: 1.09-1.98). The mean time from patient arrival at the emergency room to initiation of antibiotic therapy was 10 h. Conclusions: The in-hospital mortality rate of 15.5% and the need for ICU admission in almost one third of the patients reflect the major impact of CAP on patients and the health care system. Individuals with a high burden of comorbidities, a high CURB-65 score, and a need for mechanical ventilation had a worse prognosis. Measures to reduce the time to initiation of antibiotic therapy may result in better outcomes in this group of patients.

RESUMO Objetivo: Descrever o perfil dos pacientes, taxas de mortalidade, acurácia de escores prognósticos e fatores associados à mortalidade em pacientes com pneumonia adquirida na comunidade (PAC) em um hospital geral no Brasil. Métodos: Estudo de coorte envolvendo pacientes com diagnóstico clínico e laboratorial de PAC e necessidade de internação hospitalar entre março de 2014 e abril de 2015 em um hospital público do interior do Brasil. Foi realizada a análise multivariada mediante o modelo de regressão de Poisson com variância robusta para avaliar os fatores associados com mortalidade intra-hospitalar. Resultados: Foram incluídos 304 pacientes. Aproximadamente 70% dos pacientes foram classificados como graves de acordo com os critérios de gravidade utilizados. A taxa de mortalidade foi de 15,5% e a de necessidade de internação em UTI foi de 29,3%. Após a análise multivariada, os fatores associados à mortalidade intra-hospitalar foram necessidade de ventilação mecânica (OR = 3,60; IC95%: 1,85-7,47); Charlson Comorbidity Index > 3 (OR = 1,30; IC95%: 1,18-1,43); e mental Confusion, Urea, Respiratory rate, Blood pressure, and age > 65 years (CURB-65) > 2 (OR = 1,46; IC95%: 1,09-1,98). A média do tempo entre a chegada do paciente na emergência e o início da antibioticoterapia foi de 10 h. Conclusões: A taxa de mortalidade intra-hospitalar de 15,5% e a necessidade de internação em UTI em quase um terço dos pacientes demonstram o grande impacto da PAC nos pacientes e no sistema de saúde. Indivíduos com maior carga de comorbidades prévias, CURB-65 elevado e necessidade de ventilação mecânica apresentaram pior prognóstico. Ações para reduzir o tempo até o início da antibioticoterapia podem resultar em melhores desfechos nesse grupo de pacientes.

Infection in Patients with Decompensated Heart Failure: In-Hospital Mortality and Outcome / Infecção em Pacientes com Insuficiência Cardíaca Descompensada: Mortalidade Hospitalar e Evolução

Abstract Background: Heart failure (HF) is a syndrome, whose advanced forms have a poor prognosis, which is aggravated by the presence of comorbidities. Objective: We assessed the impact of infection in patients with decompensated HF admitted to a tertiary university-affiliated hospital in the city of São Paulo. Methods: This study assessed 260 patients consecutively admitted to our unit because of decompensated HF. The presence of infection and other morbidities was assessed, as were in-hospital mortality and outcome after discharge. The chance of death was estimated by univariate logistic regression analysis of the variables studied. The significance level adopted was P < 0.05. Results: Of the patients studied, 54.2% were of the male sex, and the mean age ± SD was 66.1 ± 12.7 years. During hospitalization, 119 patients (45.8%) had infection: 88 (33.8%) being diagnosed with pulmonary infection and 39 patients (15.0%), with urinary infection. During hospitalization, 56 patients (21.5%) died, and, after discharge, 36 patients (17.6%). During hospitalization, 26.9% of the patients with infection died vs 17% of those without infection (p = 0.05). However, after discharge, mortality was lower in the group that had infection: 11.5% vs 22.2% (p = 0.046). Conclusions: Infection is a frequent morbidity among patients with HF admitted for compensation of the condition, and those with infection show higher in-hospital mortality. However, those patients who initially had infection and survived had a better outcome after discharge.

Resumo Fundamento: A insuficiência cardíaca (IC) é uma síndrome cujas formas avançadas têm mau prognóstico, que é mais agravado pela presença de comorbidades. Objetivo: Avaliamos o impacto da infecção em pacientes com IC descompensada que internaram em hospital universitário terciário de São Paulo. Métodos: Estudamos 260 pacientes consecutivos que internaram em nossa unidade com IC descompensada. Avaliamos a presença de infecção e de outras morbidades. Avaliaram-se mortalidade hospitalar e evolução após a alta. A chance de óbito foi estimada pela análise de regressão logística univariada para as variáveis estudadas. Considerou-se P < 0,05 significativo. Resultados: Dos pacientes estudados, 54,2% eram homens, sendo a idade média ± DP de 66,1 ± 12,7 anos. Durante a internação, 119 pacientes (45,8%) apresentaram infecção: 88 (33,8%) tiveram diagnóstico de infecção pulmonar e 39 (15%), de infecção urinária. A mortalidade hospitalar ocorreu em 56 pacientes (21,5%) e, após a alta, 36 pacientes (17,6%) morreram no seguimento. Durante a internação, 26,9% do grupo com infecção morreu vs 17% do grupo sem infecção (p = 0,05). Entretanto, após a alta, a mortalidade foi menor no grupo com infecção: 11,5% vs 22,2% (p = 0,046). Conclusões: Infecção é uma comorbidade frequente entre os pacientes com IC internados para compensação, causando um aumento da mortalidade durante a hospitalização. Entretanto, após a alta, os pacientes inicialmente com infecção apresentaram melhor evolução.

Evaluación de los índices predictores de eventos adversos en el adulto inmunocompetente hospitalizado por neumonía adquirida en la comunidad / Adverse event prediction in immunocompetent adult patients hospitalized with community-acquired pneumonia

Background: Community-acquired pneumonia (CAP) causes significant morbidity and mortality in adults. Aim: To compare the accuracy of four validated rules for predicting adverse outcomes in patients hospitalized with CAP. Patients and Methods: We compared the pneumonia severity index (PSI), British Thoracic Society score (CURB-65), SMART-COP and severe CAP score (SCAP) in 659 immunocompetent adult patients aged 18 to 101 years, 52% male, hospitalized with CAP. Major adverse outcomes were: admission to ICU, need for mechanical ventilation (MV), in-hospital complications and 30-day mortality. Mean hospital length of stay (LOS) was also evaluated. The predictive indexes were compared based on sensitivity, specificity, and area under the curve of the receiver operating characteristic curve. Results: Of the studied patients, 77% had comorbidities, 23% were admitted to the intensive care unit and 12% needed mechanical ventilation. The rate of all adverse outcomes and hospital LOS increased directly with increasing PSI, CURB-65, SMART-COP and SCAP scores. The sensitivity, specificity and area under the curve of the prognostic indexes to predict adverse events were: Admission to ICU (PSI: 0.48, 0.84 and 0.73; SMART-COP: 0.97, 0.23 and 0.75; SCAP: 0.57, 0.81 and 0.76); use of MV (PSI: 0.44, 0.84 and 0.75; SMART-COP: 0.96, 0.35 and 0.84; SCAP: 0.53, 0.87 and 0.78); 30-days mortality (PSI: 0.45, 0.97 and 0.83; SMART-COP: 0.94, 0.29 and 0.77; SCAP: 0.53, 0.95 and 0.81). CURB-65 had a lower discriminatory power compared to the other indices. Conclusions: PSI score and SCAP were more accurate and specific and SMART-COP was more sensitive to predict the risk of death. SMART-COP was more sensitive and SCAP was more specific in predicting the use of mechanical ventilation.

Predictores clínicos de eventos adversos serios en el adulto inmunocompetente hospitalizado por neumonía adquirida en la comunidad / Clinical predictors of serious adverse events in immunocompetent adult patients hospitalized with community-acquired pneumonia

Introducción: La neumonía adquirida en la comunidad (NAC) ocasiona morbilidad y mortalidad significativa en la población adulta. Objetivos: Examinar las variables clínicas y de laboratorio medidas en la admisión al hospital que permiten predecir los eventos adversos clínicamente relevantes en pacientes adultos hospitalizados por neumonía comunitaria. Métodos: Evaluamos las variables clínicas y de laboratorio asociadas a eventos adversos serios en una cohorte de adultos hospitalizados por NAC. Los eventos adversos examinados fueron la admisión a UCI, necesidad de ventilación mecánica, shock séptico, complicaciones cardiovasculares y generales y estadía prolongada en el hospital y mortalidad a 30 días. Las variables predictoras fueron sometidas a análisis univariado y multivariado en un modelo de regresión logística. Resultados: Se evaluaron 659 pacientes, edad: 67 ± 18 años, 52% varones, 77% tenía comorbilidad, 23% fueron admitidos a la UCI, 12% requirieron ventilación mecánica, 31% presentaron complicaciones en el hospital, la estadía media en el hospital fue 9 días y 9,9% fallecieron en el seguimiento a 30 días. Las comorbilidades, inestabilidad hemodinámica y disfunción renal se asociaron con la admisión a UCI, riesgo de complicaciones y estadía prolongada en el hospital. El uso de ventilación mecánica y shock séptico fue más frecuente en pacientes con inestabilidad hemodinámica y disfunción renal. La edad avanzada, enfermedades cardiovasculares y respiratorias crónicas, sospecha de aspiración, taquipnea y disfunción renal se asociaron al riesgo de eventos cardiovasculares en el hospital. Conclusión: Las variables clínicas y de laboratorio medidas en la admisión al hospital permiten predecir el riesgo de eventos adversos serios en el adulto hospitalizado por neumonía.

Introduction: Community-acquired pneumonia (CAP) causes significant morbidity and mortality in adult population. Objectives: To assess clinical and laboratory variables measured at hospital admission associated to clinically relevant adverse outcomes in patients hospitalized with community-acquired pneumonia. Methods: We prospectively assessed clinical and laboratory variables associated to serious adverse events in a cohort of CAP hospitalized adult patients. Major adverse outcomes were admission to ICU, need for mechanical ventilation, septic shock, prolonged hospital stay, cardiovascular and in-hospital complications and 30-day mortality. The clinical and laboratory variables measured at hospital admission associated to serious adverse events were assessed by univariate and multivariate analysis using logistic regression models. Results: 659 CAP hospitalized immunocompetent adult patients were assessed, mean age: 67 years, 52% were male, 77% had comorbidities, 23% were admitted to the intensive care unit (ICU), 12% needed mechanical ventilation, 31% had hospital complication, mean hospital length of stay was 9 days and 9.9% died at 30-days follow up. Comorbidities, hemodynamic instability and renal dysfunction were associated with ICU admission, risk of complications, and prolonged hospital stay. Mechanical ventilation requirement and septic shock were more frequent in patients with hemodynamic instability and renal dysfunction. Advanced age, chronic cardiovascular and respiratory diseases, aspiration pneumonia, tachypnea, and renal dysfunction were associated with high risk of cardiovascular events in the hospital. Conclusion: The clinical and laboratory variables measured at hospital admission allow us to predict the risk of serious adverse events in CAP hospitalized adult patients.

Septic Pulmonary Embolism Requiring Critical Care: Clinicoradiological Spectrum, Causative Pathogens and Outcomes

OBJECTIVES: Septic pulmonary embolism is an uncommon but life-threatening disorder. However, data on patients with septic pulmonary embolism who require critical care have not been well reported. This study elucidated the clinicoradiological spectrum, causative pathogens and outcomes of septic pulmonary embolism in patients requiring critical care. METHODS: The electronic medical records of 20 patients with septic pulmonary embolism who required intensive care unit admission between January 2005 and December 2013 were reviewed. RESULTS: Multiple organ dysfunction syndrome developed in 85% of the patients, and acute respiratory failure was the most common organ failure (75%). The most common computed tomographic findings included a feeding vessel sign (90%), peripheral nodules without cavities (80%) or with cavities (65%), and peripheral wedge-shaped opacities (75%). The most common primary source of infection was liver abscess (40%), followed by pneumonia (25%). The two most frequent causative pathogens were Klebsiella pneumoniae (50%) and Staphylococcus aureus (35%). Compared with survivors, nonsurvivors had significantly higher serum creatinine, arterial partial pressure of carbon dioxide, and Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation II and Sequential Organ Failure Assessment scores, and they were significantly more likely to have acute kidney injury, disseminated intravascular coagulation and lung abscesses. The in-hospital mortality rate was 30%. Pneumonia was the most common cause of death, followed by liver abscess. CONCLUSIONS: Patients with septic pulmonary embolism who require critical care, especially those with pneumonia and liver abscess, are associated with high mortality. Early diagnosis, appropriate antibiotic therapy, surgical intervention and respiratory support are essential.

Mechanical ventilation in patients in the intensive care unit of a general university hospital in southern Brazil: an epidemiological study

OBJECTIVES: To determine the characteristics, the frequency and the mortality rates of patients needing mechanical ventilation and to identify the risk factors associated with mortality in the intensive care unit (ICU) of a general university hospital in southern Brazil. METHOD: Prospective cohort study in patients admitted to the ICU who needed mechanical ventilation for at least 24 hours between March 2004 and April 2007. RESULTS: A total of 1,115 patients admitted to the ICU needed mechanical ventilation. The mortality rate was 51%. The mean age (± standard deviation) was 57±18 years, and the mean Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation II (APACHE II) score was 22.6±8.3. The variables independently associated with mortality were (i) conditions present at the beginning of mechanical ventilation, age (hazard ratio: 1.01; p<0.001); the APACHE II score (hazard ratio: 1.01; p<0.005); acute lung injury/acute respiratory distress syndrome (hazard ratio: 1.38; p=0.009), sepsis (hazard ratio: 1.33; p=0.003), chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (hazard ratio: 0.58; p=0.042), and pneumonia (hazard ratio: 0.78; p=0.013) as causes of mechanical ventilation; and renal (hazard ratio: 1.29; p=0.011) and neurological (hazard ratio: 1.25; p=0.024) failure, and (ii) conditions occurring during the course of mechanical ventilation, acute lung injuri/acute respiratory distress syndrome (hazard ratio: 1.31; p<0.010); sepsis (hazard ratio: 1.53; p<0.001); and renal (hazard ratio: 1.75; p<0.001), cardiovascular (hazard ratio: 1.32; p≤0.009), and hepatic (hazard ratio: 1.67; p≤0.001) failure. CONCLUSIONS: This large cohort study provides a comprehensive profile of mechanical ventilation patients in South America. The mortality rate of patients who required mechanical ventilation was higher, which may have been related to the severity of illness of the patients admitted to our ICU. Risk factors for hospital mortality included conditions present at the start of mechanical ventilation conditions that occurred during mechanical support.

In-hospital mortality risk factors in community acquired pneumonia: evaluation of immunocompetent adult patients without comorbidities / Fatores de risco para mortalidade intra-hospitalar em pneumonia adquirida em comunidade: avaliação de pacientes imunocompetentes sem comorbidades

Summary Objective: several scores were developed in order to improve the determination of community acquired pneumonia (CAP) severity and its management, mainly CURB-65 and SACP score. However, none of them were evaluated for risk assessment of in-hospital mortality, particularly in individuals who were non-immunosuppressed and/or without any comorbidity. In this regard, the present study was carried out. Methods: we performed a cross-sectional study in 272 immunocompetent patients without comorbidities and with a diagnosis of CAP. Performance of CURB- 65 and SCAP scores in predicting in-hospital mortality was evaluated. Also, variables related to death were assessed. Furthermore, in order to design a model of in-hospital mortality prediction, sampled individuals were randomly divided in two groups. The association of the variables with mortality was weighed and, by multiple binary regression, a model was constructed in one of the subgroups. Then, it was validated in the other subgroup. Results: both scores yielded a fair strength of agreement, and CURB-65 showed a better performance in predicting in-hospital mortality. In our casuistry, age, white blood cell counts, serum urea and diastolic blood pressure were related to death. The model constructed with these variables showed a good performance in predicting in-hospital mortality; moreover, only one patient with fatal outcome was not correctly classified in the group where the model was constructed and in the group where it was validated. Conclusion: our findings suggest that a simple model that uses only 4 variables, which are easily accessible and interpretable, can identify seriously ill patients with CAP .

Resumo Objetivo: diversos escores de gravidade da pneumonia adquirida em comunidade (PAC) foram desenvolvidos com o intuito de melhorar o manejo clínico, em especial os escores CURB-65 e SCAP. Contudo, nenhum dos dois foi avaliado para determinar o risco de morte intra- hospitalar, principalmente em pacientes imunocompetentes e/ou sem comorbidades. Diante disso, propusemo- nos a analisar a utilidade dos escores para prever a mortalidade intra-hospitalar e estudar as variáveis associadas ao desfecho fatal. Métodos: desenvolvemos um trabalho transversal com 272 pacientes imunocompetentes, sem comorbidades e com diagnóstico de PAC. Foi avaliada a eficácia dos escores CURB-65 e SCAP em prever a mortalidade durante a internação. Foram estudadas as variáveis relacionadas a este desfecho. Por fim, a amostra foi dividida em dois subgrupos com o objetivo de desenvolver um modelo de avaliação do risco de morte em um subgrupo, validando-o no outro. Resultados: ambos os escores apresentaram pobre concordância de classificação da gravidade para PAC. O escore CURB-65 mostrou melhor desempenho na avaliação do risco de morte. Em nossa amostra, idade, contagem de glóbulos brancos, ureia sérica e pressão arterial diastólica foram as variáveis que se associaram à mortalidade. O modelo desenvolvido com essas variáveis mostrou eficácia muito boa para prever o desfecho fatal. Inclusive, somente um paciente no grupo de desenvolvimento do modelo e outro no grupo de validação foram classificados de modo incorreto. Conclusão: nossos resultados sugerem que com um modelo de quatro variáveis, de fácil acesso e interpretação, foi possível identificar pacientes gravemente enfermos com PAC. .

Hospitalización diurna como modelo de atención de salud en pacientes adultos inmunocompetentes con neumonía adquirida en la comunidad / Respiratory day hospital care for immunocompetent adult patients with community-acquired pneumonia

Background: Day hospitals can reduce health care costs without increasing the risks of patients with lower respiratory tract infection. Aim: To report the experience of a respiratory day hospital care delivered to adult patients with community-acquired pneumonia (CAP) in a public hospital. Material and Methods: During the fall and winter of 2011 and 2012, adult patients with CAP of intermediate risk categories were assessed in the emergency room, their severity was stratified according to confusion, respiratory rate, blood pressure, 65 years of age or older (CRB-65) score and the Chilean CAP Clinical Guidelines, and were admitted to the respiratory day hospital. Results: One hundred seventeen patients aged 67 ± 16 years, (62% females) with CAP were attended in the respiratory day hospital. Ninety percent had comorbidities, especially chronic obstructive pulmonary disease in 58%, heart disease in 32%, diabetes in 16% and asthma in 13%. Their most important risk factors were age over 65 years in 60%, comorbidities in 88%, failure of antibiotic treatment in 17%, loss of autonomy in 21%, vital sign abnormalities in 60%, mental confusion in 5%, multilobar CAP in 23%, pleural effusion in 15%, hypoxemia in 41% and a serum urea nitrogen over 30 mg/dL in 16%. Patients stayed an average of seven days in the day hospital with oxygen, hydration, chest physiotherapy and third-generation cephalosporins (89%) associated with quinolones (52%) or macrolides (4%). Thirteen patients required noninvasive ventilation, eight patients were hospitalized because of clinical deterioration and three died in hospital. Conclusions: Day hospital care reduced hospital admission rates of patients with lower respiratory tract infections.

Lethality by pneumonia and factors associated to death / Letalidade por pneumonia e fatores associados ao óbito

OBJECTIVE: To describe the case-fatality rate (CFR) and risk factors of death in children with community-acquired acute pneumonia (CAP) in a pediatric university hospital. METHOD: A longitudinal study was developed with prospective data collected from 1996 to 2011. Patients aged 1 month to 12 years were included in the study. Those who left the hospital against medical orders and those transferred to ICU or other units were excluded. Demographic andclinical-etiological characteristics and the initial treatment were studied. Variables associated to death were determined by bivariate and multivariate analysis using logistic regression. RESULTS: A total of 871 patients were selected, of whom 11 were excluded; thus 860 children were included in the study. There were 26 deaths, with a CFR of 3%; in 58.7% of these, penicillin G was the initial treatment. Pneumococcus was the most common pathogen (50.4%). From 1996 to 2000, there were 24 deaths (93%), with a CFR of 5.8% (24/413). From 2001 to 2011, the age group of hospitalized patients was older (p = 0.03), and the number of deaths (p = 0.02) and the percentage of disease severity were lower (p = 0.06). Only disease severity remained associated to death in the multivariate analysis (OR = 3.2; 95%CI: 1.2-8.9; p = 0.02). CONCLUSION: When the 1996-2000 and 2001-2011 periods were compared, a significant reduction in CFR was observed in the latter, as well as a change in the clinical profile of the pediatric in patients at the institute. These findings may be related to the improvement in the socio-economical status of the population. Penicillin use did not influence CFR. .

OBJETIVO: Descrever a taxa de letalidade (TL) e os fatores de risco de óbito em crianças com pneumonia grave adquirida na comunidade (CAP) em um hospital universitário pediátrico. MÉTODO: Foi desenvolvido um estudo longitudinal com dados prospectivos coletados de 1996 a2011. Foram incluídos no estudo pacientes com idade entre 1 mês e 12 anos de idade. Foram excluídos aqueles que deixaram o hospital desconsiderando as recomendações médicas e aqueles transferidos para UTI ou outras unidades. Foram estudadas as características demográficas, clínicas e etiológicas e o tratamento inicial. As variáveis associadas a óbito foram determinadas por análise bivariada e multivariada utilizando regressão logística. RESULTADOS: Foi selecionado um total de 871 pacientes, dos quais 11 foram excluídos; assim, foram incluídas no estudo 860 crianças. Houve 26 óbitos, com uma TL de 3%; em 58,7% desses, penicilina G foi o tratamento inicial. Pneumococo foi o patógeno mais comum (50,4%). De 1996 a 2000, houve 24 óbitos (93%), com uma TL de 5,8% (24/413). De 2001 a 2011, a faixa etária de pacientes internados foi mais velha (p = 0,03) e o número de óbitos (p = 0,02) e o percentual de gravidade das doenças foram menores (p = 0,06). Apenas a gravidade das doenças continuou associada a óbito na análise multivariada (RC = 3,2; IC de 95%: 1,2-8,9; p = 0,02). CONCLUSÃO: Quando os períodos de 1996-2000 e 2001-2011 foram comparados, foi observada uma redução significativa na TL no último período, bem como uma alteração no perfil clínico dos pacientes hospitalizados no instituto. Esses achados podem estar relacionados à melhora na situação socioeconômica da população. O uso de penicilina não influenciou a TL. .

Ecological study on mortality from influenza and pneumonia before and after influenza vaccination in the Northeast and South of Brazil / Estudo ecológico sobre a mortalidade por pneumonia e influenza antes e após a vacinação contra influenza no nordeste e sul do Brasil / Estudio ecológico sobre la mortalidad por neumonía e influenza antes y después de la vacunación antigripal en el noreste y el sur de Brasil

The study compared mortality from influenza and pneumonia in elderly people (65 years or older) before and since implementation of influenza vaccination in the South and Northeast regions of Brazil. Official population and mortality data were retrieved from government agencies to estimate weekly mortality rates. The Serfling model was used to identify influenza outbreaks and estimate the mortality attributable to them. In the South, the vaccination period showed a major reduction in mortality from influenza and pneumonia and in the number and duration of influenza outbreaks. These results were interpreted as consistent with the hypothesis of the vaccination program's effectiveness. In the Northeast, there was an increase in mortality from influenza and pneumonia during vaccination, which was associated with a quality improvement in recording causes of death in the elderly. An increase was also seen in mortality attributable to influenza outbreaks, suggesting a mismatch between the period in which vaccination is conducted and the relevant climatic characteristics for influenza transmission.

Comparou-se a mortalidade por gripe e pneumonia de idosos (65 anos ou mais) antes e depois do início da vacinação nas regiões Nordeste e Sul do Brasil. Dados oficiais de população e de mortalidade foram recuperados junto às agências governamentais para a estimação de coeficientes semanais de mortalidade. Para a identificação de surtos de gripe e a estimação da mortalidade atribuível a esses surtos, foi utilizado o modelo de Serfling. Na Região Sul, o período com vacinação teve expressiva redução da mortalidade por gripe e pneumonia, e da frequência e duração dos surtos de gripe. Esses resultados foram interpretados como sendo compatíveis com a hipótese de efetividade do programa de vacinação. Na Região Nordeste, houve aumento da mortalidade por gripe e pneumonia durante a vacinação, o que foi associado à melhoria da qualidade do registro das causas de óbito entre idosos. Foi também constatado aumento da mortalidade atribuível aos surtos de gripe, sugerindo inadequação entre o período em que ocorre a vacinação e características climáticas de interesse para a transmissão da gripe.

Se comparó la mortalidad por influenza y neumonía en adultos mayores (65 años o más) antes y después del inicio de la vacunación en el Noreste y Sur de Brasil. Datos oficiales sobre población y muertes fueron recuperados de agencias gubernamentales para estimar las tasas de mortalidad semanales. Se utilizó el modelo Serfling para identificar brotes de gripe y evaluar la mortalidad atribuible a esos brotes. En el Sur, hubo una reducción significativa de la mortalidad por influenza y neumonía y en la frecuencia y duración de los brotes de influenza en el periodo de vacunación, lo que sugiere la eficacia de la eficacia del programa de vacunación. En el Nordeste, el aumento de la mortalidad por influenza y neumonía durante la vacunación se explica por la mejora en la calidad del registro de causas de muerte entre las personas mayores. La mortalidad atribuible a los brotes de influenza también se incrementó durante la vacunación, lo que sugiere una falta de coincidencia entre el período de vacunación y características climáticas de interés para la transmisión de la gripe.

Sobrevida a largo plazo en adultos inmunocompetentes mayores de 60 años hospitalizados por neumonía adquirida en la comunidad / Long-term survival of immunocompetent patients older than 60 years hospitalized for community-acquired pneumonia

Background: A reduction in long-term survival of adult patients hospitalized with community-acquired pneumonia (CAP), especially older people with múltiple comorbidities, has been reported. Aim: To examine the clinical variables associated to mortality at 72 months of adult patients older than 60 years hospitalized with CAP and compare their mortality with a control group matched for age, gender and place of admission. Material and Methods: Prospective assessment of 465 immunocompetent patients aged 61 to 101 years, hospitalized for CAP in a teaching hospital. Hospital and 30 day mortality was obtained from medical records. Seventy two months survival ofthe 424 patients who were discharged olive, was compared with a group of 851 patients without pneumonia paired for gender and age. Mortality at 72 months was obtained from death certificates. Results: Eighty seven percent of patients had comorbidity. The median hospital length ofstay was 10 days, 8.8% died in the hospital, 29.7% at one year follow-up and 61.9%o at 6 years. The actuarial survival at six years was similar in the cohort of adults hospitalized with CAP and the control group matched for age, gender and site of care. In a multivariate analysis, the clinical variables associated with increased risk of dying during long-term follow-up were older age, chronic cardiovascular and neurological diseases, malignancy, absence of fever, low C-reactive protein at hospital admission and high-risk parameters of the Fine índex. Conclusions: Advanced age, some specific comorbidities, poor systemic inflammatory response at admission and high risk parameters of the Fine Index were associated to increased risk of dying on long-term follow-up among older adults hospitalized for CAP.

Predictores clínicos de mortalidad en el seguimiento a mediano plazo en pacientes adultos inmunocompetentes hospitalizados por neumonía adquirida en la comunidad / Predictors of one year mortality among immunocompetent adults hospitalized for community-acquired pneumonia

Background: Mortality increases in adults, especially in older adults, after recovery from an episode of community-acquired pneumonia (CAP). Aim: To analyze survival and predictors of death at one year follow up of a cohort of adult patients hospitalized with CAP. Material and Methods: Immunocompetent patients admitted to a clinical hospital for an episode of CAP were included in the study and were assessed according to a standardized protocol. One year mortality after admission was assessed using death records of the National Identification Service. Clinical and laboratory variables measured at hospital admission associated with risk of death at one year follow up were subjected to univariate and multivariate analysis by a logistic regression model. Results: We evaluated 659 patients aged 68 ± 19 years, 52% were male, 77% had underlying conditions (especially cardiovascular, neurological and respiratory diseases). Mean hospital length of stay was 9 days, 7.1% died during hospital stay and 15.8% did so during the year of follow-up. A causal agent was identified in one third of cases. The main pathogens isolated were Streptococcus pneumoniae (12.9%), Haemophilus influenzae (4.1%), respiratory viruses (6.5%) and Gram-negative bacilli (6.5%). In multivariate analysis, the clinical variables associated with increased risk of dying during the year of follow-up were older age, chronic neurological disease, malignancies, lack of fever at admission and prolonged hospital length of stay. Conclusions: Age, specific co-morbidities such as chronic neurological disease and cancer, absence of fever at hospital admission and prolonged hospital length of stay were associated with increased risk of dying during the year after admission among adult patients hospitalized with community-acquired pneumonia.